Stage-dependent physiological responses in a butterfly cause non-additive effects on phenology

Abstract

Studies illustrating climate-induced shifts in phenology typically focus on the timing of a single lifecycle stage. In contrast, species' responses to climate change are likely to be complex and constrained by interactions and tradeoffs across the lifecycle. We characterized the thermal sensitivity of egg, larval and pupal stages of a native Australian butterfly and then integrated these responses to predict sensitivity of emergence time, survival, and feeding performance on oviposition date and climate. Thermal physiology varied among lifecycle stages and between sexes, with the development rate of eggs, first instar larvae, and pupae being the most sensitive to temperature. As lifecycle st..